{"id":11463,"date":"2021-08-29T21:54:18","date_gmt":"2021-08-29T21:54:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.buyucoin.com\/crypto-labs\/plan-bs-stock-to-flow-bitcoin-price-model-predicts-100k-by-christmas-s2f-creator-discusses-time-model\/"},"modified":"2021-08-29T21:54:18","modified_gmt":"2021-08-29T21:54:18","slug":"plan-bs-stock-to-flow-bitcoin-price-model-predicts-100k-by-christmas-s2f-creator-discusses-time-model","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.buyucoin.com\/crypto-labs\/plan-bs-stock-to-flow-bitcoin-price-model-predicts-100k-by-christmas-s2f-creator-discusses-time-model\/","title":{"rendered":"Plan B\u2019s Stock-to-Flow Bitcoin Price Model \u2018Predicts $100K by Christmas,\u2019 S2F Creator Discusses \u2018Time Model\u2019"},"content":{"rendered":"

The pseudo-anonymous bitcoin analyst called Plan B gave his 704,000 Twitter followers an update on the notorious stock-to-flow (S2F) bitcoin price model. Plan B stressed on August 27, that the \u201cnext months will be key\u201d as he believes the bitcoin S2F model \u201cpredicts $100K by Christmas.\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u2018$100K by Xmas\u2019<\/h2>\n

Plan B is a popular figure in the bitcoin world as the pseudo-anonymous analyst is well known for his stock-to-flow (S2F)<\/a> price model. In basic terms, the model quantifies the commodity\u2019s (bitcoin) scarcity and then divides it by yearly issuance (the flow).<\/p>\n

For quite some time now, Plan B and many other S2F fans have insisted that if the model is correct, BTC<\/a> could one day reach $100K and in the future, possibly a million U.S. dollars per coin. However, in June and July, bitcoin (BTC) prices<\/a> pulled back a great deal, after reaching a value of more than $64K per unit.<\/p>\n

S2F chart shared by Plan B on August 27, 2021.<\/a><\/p>\n

After the price drop, Bitcoin.com News reported<\/a> on how Plan B was still confident that the bitcoin \u201cbull is not over.\u201d Following the last S2F update, Plan B spoke about his model on August 27th, and gave a prediction.<\/p>\n

\u201cBitcoin stock-to-flow model predicts $100K by Christmas,\u201d Plan B tweeted<\/a>. \u201cTime model (diminishing returns, lengthening cycles) $30K. Next months will be key. Note that color overlay is on-chain signal (not time to halving), indicating we are between bottom (blue) and top (red), in line with S2F,\u201d the pseudo-anonymous analyst added.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

The Time Model Discussion, Plan B\u2019s S2F Preference<\/h2>\n

Intothecryptoverse.com<\/a>\u2019s Benjamin Cowen replied to Plan B\u2019s August 27 tweet, and said<\/a>: \u201cThe time model just shows the \u2018fair value.\u2019 It does not say that the price of bitcoin has to be that price at a certain time. We can move above and below it, like we do with the S2F model.\u201d<\/p>\n

Plan B responded to Cowen\u2019s statement and said<\/a>: Of course BTC<\/a> price can move above and below both models.[The] point is that BTC<\/a> price is currently ABOVE time model, so it is not illogical to expect lower prices if you follow [the] time model. And [the price of BTC<\/a>] is BELOW S2F model, so it is logical to expect higher prices if you follow S2F.\u201d<\/p>\n

Cowen, however, replied further stating<\/a>:<\/p>\n

The extension above the time model in terms of percent shows that we should expect it to ultimately extend further than it already has. If we started expecting it to go lower the minute it moved above the fair value, well that would also be irrational.<\/p>\n

Plan B has been bullish for a long time and Bitcoin.com News has covered the S2F trajectory and the model\u2019s criticisms<\/a>. The model\u2019s creator has often said<\/a> that BTC<\/a> will see six-digit prices and he believes the model is on track. The pseudo-anonymous analyst tweets about S2F regularly among other statistics and figures that are tethered to bitcoin.<\/p>\n

Chart shared by Plan B on August 25, 2021.<\/a><\/p>\n

\u201cNobody who bought bitcoin and hodled 4+ years (200 weeks) lost money, ever,\u201d Plan B said<\/a> last week. \u201cAlso, both 200wma and realized cap (average cost price of all 18.8M BTC<\/a>) are at all-time high (ATH).\u201d On August 19, Plan B explain why he prefers the S2F model in contrast to the time model and other estimates.<\/p>\n

S2F chart shared by Plan B on August 19, 2021.<\/a><\/p>\n

\u201cS2F model: BTC<\/a>=a*(S2F ratio)^b,\u201d Plan B stated<\/a>. \u201cTime model: BTC<\/a>=a*(months from Jan09)^b. Why I prefer S2F model: [It] tells you when price increases: after halvings, [has] more robust parameters (a,b), time not an input variable, S2FX not a time series, interpolation [is] possible, [and its] usable with other assets,\u201d the S2F creator added.<\/p>\n

What do you think about Plan B\u2019s stock-to-flow update and the call for a $100K by Christmas? Let us know what you think about this subject in the comments section below.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

Bitcoin News
\nMarkets and Prices, All-time price high, ATH, Benjamin Cowen, Bitcoin, Bitcoin (BTC), Bitcoin Price, BTC, BTC Price, Bull, Bullish, Charts, forecast, Intothecryptoverse.com, Million Dollars, Plan B, prediction, pseudo-anonymous analyst, S2F predictions, S2F vs Time Model, Six-Digits, stock-to-flow, Stock-to-Flow vs Time Model, Twitter<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The pseudo-anonymous bitcoin analyst called Plan B gave his 704,000 Twitter followers an update on the notorious stock-to-flow (S2F) bitcoin price model. Plan B stressed on August 27, that the \u201cnext months will be key\u201d as he believes the bitcoin S2F model \u201cpredicts $100K by Christmas.\u201d \u2018$100K by Xmas\u2019 Plan B is a popular figure…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":11464,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[53,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11463","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blockchain-news","category-coin-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.buyucoin.com\/crypto-labs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11463"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.buyucoin.com\/crypto-labs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.buyucoin.com\/crypto-labs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.buyucoin.com\/crypto-labs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11463"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.buyucoin.com\/crypto-labs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11463\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.buyucoin.com\/crypto-labs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11464"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.buyucoin.com\/crypto-labs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11463"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.buyucoin.com\/crypto-labs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11463"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.buyucoin.com\/crypto-labs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11463"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}